伊朗伊斯蘭革命衛隊（IRGC）上周五（9日）宣稱對荷姆茲海峽（Strait of Hormuz）一艘油輪縱火負責，並警告武裝行動不再將局限於海峽範圍，任何被其認定使用「未經授權」航線的船隻，將在整個區域遭到追捕與「懲罰」。國際海事安全機構同時報告波斯灣另有2艘商船遭攻擊。
Iran strikes tankers outside Hormuz in signs of expanding campaign ➡️ https://t.co/T98BWjBvny https://t.co/5ryRWl1Q1r
— euronews (@euronews) October 8, 2026
《euronews》報導，革命衛隊海軍表示，他們針對屬於Natwit公司的油輪MV Sun Shine的引擎室與推進系統發動攻擊，原因是該船試圖使用海峽南部被伊朗稱為「未經授權」的航線，攻擊導致船上起火。革命衛隊在聲明中警告，對「違規」船隻的行動將不再限於荷姆茲海峽，任何使用其認定為未經授權航線的船隻，將在區域內任何地方被追捕並「懲罰」。
聲明並指出，被指控與美國合作的公司將遭制裁，其所有船隻也將成為目標。革命衛隊將海峽事件歸咎於美軍，指控華盛頓干預航運與保險公司的決策，並支付「巨額賄賂」以促使服從，「這些事件以及區域海上運輸緊張局勢升級的直接責任，在於侵略性的美國軍隊」。
If Trump does not want war with Iran before 3 November, why is he sending thousands of troops towards it? The deployment of the USS Theodore Roosevelt carrier strike group and USS Makin Island Amphibious Ready Group involves roughly 9,000-10,000 additional personnel. This is not an invasion force. It expands US capacity for air and maritime operations while strengthening Washington’s bargaining position. On 8 October 2026, President Donald Trump said the US would not attack Iran before the #Midterms26 elections, while maintaining the blockade and insisting Iran would never obtain a nuclear weapon. This is a political pause, not a peace agreement. The post-3 November period remains uncertain. Tehran has reasons to remain sceptical. US preparations continue, while Iranian Army spokesman Brigadier General Mohammad Akrami-Nia has signalled readiness for pre-emptive operations. Iran’s leverage rests less on conventional parity than on missiles, drones, maritime pressure and geography. The Strait of Hormuz is central. About 20 million barrels of oil and petroleum products passed through it daily in 2025, roughly 25% of global seaborne oil trade. Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have alternative routes offering an estimated 3.5-5.5 million barrels per day, but these cannot replace Hormuz. A US strike could damage Iran’s nuclear infrastructure, missile forces and Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) facilities. Yet wider escalation risks Gulf energy infrastructure, shipping, supply chains, higher fuel prices and renewed inflation in the US and globally. This is the central contradiction: Washington seeks military leverage over Tehran while avoiding the economic and political costs of war. Those costs would extend beyond states to consumers, workers and energy-importing economies, particularly across Asia. The contest is therefore over who controls escalation. Trump retains military pressure while limiting immediate electoral risks. Iran seeks deterrence without giving Washington a clear justification for a wider war. The deployments demonstrate capability, not an imminent invasion. Washington’s deeper vulnerability is that a war designed to impose costs on Tehran could impose substantial costs on the global economy and the US electorate. #Iran #USA #MiddleEast #StraitOfHormuz #Geopolitics
— Sohail Ahmad (@sohailanalysis) October 9, 2026
德黑蘭臨時周五主麻日聚禮領拜功德（Imam of Friday Prayer）阿里-阿克巴里（Hojjatoleslam Mohammad Javad Ali-Akbari）在講道中表示，海峽將維持關閉，直到伊朗的條件完全獲得滿足。他說伊朗已提出「7項條件」，並將在條件達成後決定下一步，同時指出軍事準備已改善、弱點已解決，伊朗策略已從防禦轉為進攻。
伊朗方面強調，它控制荷姆茲海峽，不會允許敵對國家的軍事力量進入該區域，並誓言對任何試圖擾亂其管理海峽的行為作出「果斷」回應。
In recent months, U.S. forces have supported the shipment of over 1.25 billion barrels of crude oil from Gulf partners and through the Strait of Hormuz. In contrast, Iran has not shipped any barrels because of America's ironclad blockade on Iranian ports. https://t.co/xB5UTv4AfS
— U.S. Central Command (@CENTCOM) October 8, 2026
美國中央司令部（US CENTCOM）上周五表示，已清除海峽主要航道，移除主要通行路線上的水雷，並宣布這些航道對所有未違反美國對伊朗海事制裁的船隻開放。中央司令部稱，因此已有數千艘商船安全通過。這些相互矛盾的說法出現之際，英國海事貿易運作中心（UK Maritime Trade Operations）報告，上周五早上在阿拉伯聯合大公國阿爾賈濟拉以西13海里處，一艘液化石油氣（LPG）載運船遭不明拋射物擊中，引發大火，後來已控制。前一天，該中心報告卡達水域以北一艘油輪遭數枚拋射物擊中，造成傷亡，這是開戰逾6個月來首次此類攻擊。海事情報公司Vanguard則報告，上周四（8日）在阿曼灣富查伊拉（Fujairah）外約40公里處，一艘油輪起火，可能是懸掛馬紹爾群島旗的Dalkut。
當地媒體報導，9月28日至10月5日之間，荷姆茲海峽記錄到至少12起針對油輪與氣體載運船的攻擊、企圖攻擊或騷擾事件，是2月28日戰爭爆發以來單周最高數字。荷姆茲海峽通常承載全球約五分之一的石油與天然氣運輸，自戰爭爆發以來因伊朗對商船的飛彈與無人機攻擊，以及美國海軍對伊朗港口的封鎖，實際上已關閉。最新數據顯示，區域內除伊朗以外其他國家的石油出口，近幾日已恢復至戰前水準。
