美國、烏克蘭與俄羅斯周二（10日）在阿布達比展開的和談，是基輔方面期中選舉後所期待「氛圍轉變」的第一次真正考驗。然而到目前為止，川普（Donald Trump）並未改變路線。
‘Trump is still Trump’ on Ukraine https://t.co/PSivkcgtcu
— Thomas Yu (@ThomasYu842972) November 10, 2026
《POLITICO》「國家安全日報」（NSD）報導，白宮特使庫什納（Jared Kushner）與威特科夫（Steve Witkoff）啟程前，美國官員向記者簡報時表示，他們將要求俄羅斯接受對基輔的安全保證，這項提議在去年（2025年）12月已被視為起點。一名獲准匿名討論敏感談判的官員說：「我們已要求俄國人允許我們給予烏克蘭類似第四條與第五條的安全保證，並由北約（NATO）提供相同保障」。
這項提議並未讓曾擔任川普前烏克蘭特使凱洛格（Keith Kellogg）幕僚長的胡德（Ludovic Hood）感到興奮。他對《POLITICO》表示：「我們繼續採用過去一年半以來相同的外交途徑」。
曾領導美國國際開發署（USAID）2022年應對俄羅斯入侵烏克蘭工作的西馬科夫斯基（Mark Simakovsky）進一步指出：「我不認為應該由俄羅斯來決定美國將提供什麼。這個政府急於展示談判進展，也急於顯示俄羅斯承諾了它私下並未承諾的事情」。
烏克蘭代表團將由對外情報局長烏梅羅夫（Rustem Umerov）以及高級官員布達諾夫（Kyrylo Budanov）與阿拉哈米亞（David Arakhamia）組成；俄羅斯代表團則由總統助理梅金斯基（Vladimir Medinsky）率領。阿拉哈米亞表示，美國期中選舉使烏克蘭獲得華府更多財務與軍事援助的機會「加倍」，阿布達比和談將聚焦促使俄羅斯降低對關鍵基礎設施的攻擊。
民主黨方面，即將接掌參議院外交關係委員會與眾議院外交事務委員會的議員已承諾上任後將加強對烏克蘭的支持。部分即將卸任的共和黨人則可能更願意公開與白宮意見相左。德州共和黨參議員科寧（John Cornyn）在華盛頓一場活動中表示：「除非能讓烏克蘭投降，否則我不認為能與普丁（Vladimir Putin）達成協議」。
白宮的思路則不同。庫什納周一（9日）在個人社群上強調優先事項包括「結束戰鬥、發展可信的戰後安全保證與降低衝突再起風險的安排、為烏克蘭準備全面經濟與繁榮計畫，以及推進人道措施以減輕痛苦」。
President Trump is determined to bring an end to this horrible war, which has caused enormous loss of life, destruction, and suffering. We are working hard to find a negotiated solution that can deliver lasting peace and create the conditions for a sovereign, secure, and prosperous Ukraine within a more stable European security environment. Before beginning the two days of trilateral talks with Ukraine and Russia in Abu Dhabi, @SEPeaceMissions and I will meet with our partners from Ukraine, the EU, NATO, Germany, France, the United Kingdom and Italy to continue the close consultation and coordination we have undertaken on European security and Ukraine’s postwar future over the past several weeks. These will be the first trilateral talks since February. Building on our separate consultations with both sides, our objective is to bring Ukraine and Russia together to discuss directly their postwar security concerns, proposals, and potential solutions. We hope these discussions will identify areas of common ground, advance practical solutions, and build momentum toward the next phase of negotiations. Ultimately, achieving a comprehensive and lasting settlement will also require direct engagement between Russia and our European partners on the broader security arrangements that affect them. We hope the discussions in Abu Dhabi will create the conditions for that engagement to begin in the near future, as part of a broader multilateral process. Our work has focused on four interconnected priorities: ending the fighting, developing credible postwar security guarantees and arrangements that reduce the risk of renewed conflict, preparing a comprehensive economic and prosperity plan for Ukraine, and advancing humanitarian measures to alleviate suffering and address the human consequences of this war. Together with Ukraine, the EU, and other European partners, we are working to address Ukraine’s substantial postwar fiscal and reconstruction needs, support critical infrastructure, attract private investment, and create the conditions for long-term economic growth and self-sufficiency. We are also working with the parties on important humanitarian issues, including the return of prisoners and civilians, and practical measures to alleviate suffering and reduce the human cost of this conflict. An important part of this process is encouraging all parties to begin thinking seriously about what comes after the war. By discussing postwar security, economic recovery, and the mechanisms needed to prevent future conflict, we hope to shift the focus from managing the war toward building the foundations for a durable peace. The existing European security agreements and institutions provide an important foundation for this work. We want to build upon what has worked, identify where existing mechanisms have fallen short, and what practical improvements are needed to make them more effective in the future. Our discussions will focus on stronger consultation, reliable crisis communications, greater military transparency, and reciprocal measures to reduce escalation risks, while fully respecting the sovereignty and independent decision-making of every nation. This is an extraordinarily difficult and complicated conflict. We recognize the difficult decisions ahead and are approaching these discussions with determination and realism. Our hope is to make meaningful progress, establish a practical pathway forward, and help create the conditions for a lasting peace.
— Jared Kushner (@jaredkushner) November 9, 2026
周二（10日）第一天會議開始前，庫什納公布《美國、烏克蘭與歐洲夥伴會議聲明》，「美國、烏克蘭與歐洲夥伴在即將與俄羅斯進行的三方會談前，先行開會協調，繼續共同努力結束烏克蘭戰爭，並為持久和平創造條件，包括在任何協議中支持強而有力的安全保證。三方以合作方式討論，體現共同目標、持續磋商與對歐洲大西洋安全的承諾。與會者強調，未來任何安排都必須尊重主權、領土完整與獨立決策，並為烏克蘭提供可信的安全保證。共同目標是建立實用且相互強化的安全框架，強化烏克蘭長期安全，並為達成談判協議建立必要信心。」
歐洲方面有一項發展獲得正面評價。英國、德國、法國與義大利將與北約及歐盟官員一同前往阿布達比，儘管他們不太可能進入美、烏、俄主要談判室。一名歐洲外交官表示：「仍待觀察的是俄羅斯是否願意真誠談判。相反，普丁已加強對烏克蘭城市與能源基礎設施的打擊」。
曾任美國駐北約大使、並在川普第一任期處理烏克蘭談判的沃爾克（Kurt Volker）直言：「沒有人應該期待阿布達比和談會有任何成果。川普還是川普，身為總統，他有權設定外交政策」。
挪威首相斯特勒（Jonas Gahr Støre）在接受《POLITICO》專訪時也對突破持謹慎態度。他表示：「我會保持謹慎。阿布達比是一塊墊腳石，其產出之一應該是不久後的後續行動」。斯特勒曾與芬蘭總統斯圖布（Alexander Stubb）直接致電克里姆林宮與普丁通話90分鐘，形容普丁「專業、理性」，但強調：「如果他想要和平，一開始就不會有戰爭」。他警告，歐洲安全架構問題必須在戰爭結束後處理，不能成為談判籌碼。
